Topic: Forecasting

A woman deposits her vote in a sealed envelope into an official voting ballot box in Washington state. Research Brief / Politics

Prediction Markets + Polls + Economic Indicators: Better Election Forecasting?

A model incorporating markets that allow betting on elections suggests a role in prognostications

Multicolored soap bubbles on a black background. Forecast / Investing

The Mechanics of How Social Media Turbocharges Asset Bubbles

Establishment media coalesces around a lone narrative, but online chatter hops between storylines, sometimes shocking traders