Content Type: Forecast

Multicolored soap bubbles on a black background. Forecast / Investing

The Mechanics of How Social Media Turbocharges Asset Bubbles

Establishment media coalesces around a lone narrative, but online chatter hops between storylines, sometimes shocking traders

Large obsolete passenger airplanes in a dismantling and recycling facility. Forecast / Pollution

A Cash-for-Clunkers Program Could Reduce Aviation Emissions

Paying airlines to scrap — instead of sell — old planes produces environmental benefits at a low cost

Aerial view of Newport Beach California with ocean and waterways. Forecast / Taxes

Should Part-Time Californians, Avoiding the State’s Income Levy, Pay More in Property Tax?

As it stands, they’re free-riding, in effect subsidized by full-time resident taxpayers

Refueling an airplane on the airport Punta Cana at the Dominican Republic Forecast / Global Warming

Taxing Jet Fuel Could Reduce Airline Greenhouse Gas Emissions Now

Breakthrough technologies are years off for aviation, but incremental improvements are available

A welder wearing protective head gear works on a piece of metal in a workshop Forecast / Manufacturing

Manufacturing Might Pull Its Weight in Next Recovery

Unlike in past cycles, factory jobs are showing strength ahead of expected downturn

Three girls in green graduation gowns take a selfiea Forecast / Accountable Care Organizations

Los Angeles, Long a Laggard in Education, Gaining Ground on Other Major Metros

Younger residents’ schooling boosts the region’s economic prospects

California Housing Market Forecast / Housing

As Home Prices Soar Elsewhere, California Starts to Seem Almost Reasonable

Will the narrowing price gap bring an end to the state’s out-migration?

Shopper looks at an online shopping checkout form surrounded by many delivery boxes Forecast / E-commerce

How Tax Collections From Online Sales Rose

Putting the onus on retailers, rather than shoppers, works better

Various fast food restaurant signs along a road Forecast / Minimum Wage

A $15 Minimum Wage May Have (Partially) Arrived, But Who Pays?

Study of L.A.-area restaurants gauges effect on owners, customers, landlords

Dimly lit empty manufacturing facility Forecast / Recession

Recession Recoveries Take Longer as Manufacturing Fades

Should stimulus be targeted toward displaced workers, rather than across the economy?

A close up image of flowers, candles, and photos to remember those who have died from COVID-19 Forecast / COVID-19

COVID-19 Death Rates Vary Widely by County, But Why?

As the pandemic wears on, a search for the factors that cost lives

A view of a white house on stilts on a beach shore Forecast / Global Warming

Is the $1 Trillion Coastal Housing Market a Future Financial Crisis?

Homebuyers ignore warnings of rising seas; lenders keep lending

A brick home with solar panels on the roof Forecast / Sustainability

Solar Calculators Are Precise, But Data Don’t Always Persuade

A separate motivator: friends living in areas abundant in solar panels

Students in cap and gown Forecast / Economics

Where College Graduates Gather, Prosperity Rises

Data show growth of educated adults in city populations

McDonald's employee Forecast / Economy

Does a Rising Tide of High-Wage Tech Jobs Really Lift All Boats?

Analysis shows an increase in jobs for low-wage workers, but the buying power of their paycheck declines

Aerial shot of a port Forecast / International Trade

The Dollar: That Other Trade Problem

A strong currency makes U.S. exports harder to sell, even outside of China