Experts Struggle to Accurately Forecast Societal Change
On COVID-19’s impacts, social scientists’ predictions weren’t much better than those of laypeople
Cultural Polarization Isn’t New — But Its Alignment With Political Divisions Is
A new way to classify individuals delivers insights on social divisions and the culture war
Loan Pool Covenants, Meant to Contain Risk, Can Instead Spread It
Forced sale of assets could stretch illiquidity across industries
How Many Pairs of Sandals Would You Look at Online?
On your phone, about 20. How retailers can best harvest sales from those glances
Testing 17 Theories on the Development of Complex Civilizations
Large-scale data project produces stark conclusion: military technology + agricultural productivity caused the takeoff
Two Tech Giants — and Two Very Different Acquisition Strategies
Alphabet’s M&A feeds its core business; Amazon’s more likely to push into new areas
Taxing Jet Fuel Could Reduce Airline Greenhouse Gas Emissions Now
Breakthrough technologies are years off for aviation, but incremental improvements are available
Loan and Deposit Pricing as Banks Go Increasingly Mobile
Plus: Food delivery apps and traffic collisions; COVID-19 treatments — new or old; what does voluntary disclosure say about overall greenhouse gas emissions?
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Trending Articles
Diversity: Measuring How and Why Groups See It Differently
Perceived differences between “diverse” and “sufficiently diverse”
How Oil Prices Distort Our View of Inflation
A favored Federal Reserve index fails to filter out petroleum’s impact
Mortgage Prepayments: Factors beyond Interest Rate Movements
A model estimates the impact of economic variables on the pricing of prepayment risk
Our Flawed Pursuit of Happiness — and How to Get It Right
New approaches to spending and time-management examine how our actions do or don't influence our level of satisfaction
Editor's Choice
Dividing Patients Between Telehealth, In-Office Primary Care and Referral to Specialists
Getting the mix right is the goal of a Medicare pilot, which itself could use substantial improvement
Features
Unearthing the Negative Consequences of Managing to Quarterly Earnings
A 2017 study on workplace injuries spurs more research on perils of corporate short-termism
Forecasting a Recession Using Easy-to-Grasp Images
A look at the shape of five variables through the last seven downturns vs. today’s numbers
Research Briefs
Amateurs Struggle To Incorporate Market Signals About Pricing into Their Trades
Disregarding data, novices often sail into strong winds
In U.S.-China Trade War, Bystander Countries Increase Exports
Higher demand from U.S. and China means expanding into new markets
Who Gets Venture Capital?
Experienced founders with good products still need great employees to attract early investment, study finds
Distributing Aid Fairly Amid Scarcity and Unknown Demand
Building adaptability into an approach improves performance
How Oil Prices Distort Our View of Inflation
A favored Federal Reserve index fails to filter out petroleum’s impact
Proposed: Give Consumers on Amazon a Direct Line to Small Business Products
Third-party sellers would gain; consumers might pay more but increase control of products display
Muni Bond Buyers Pay a Little Extra for the Pleasure of Not Being Taxed
Doing so, they subsidize government, which is, well, sort of like a tax
‘They Were Already Inside My Head To Begin With’
The ethics of asking brain surgery patients to allow unrelated research while on the operating table